Bayes’ rule tells us how to invert a causal process in order to update our beliefs in light of new evidence. If the process is believed to have a complex compositional structure, we may observe that the inversion of the whole can be computed piecewise in terms of the component processes. We study the structure of this compositional rule, noting that it relates to the lens pattern in functional programming. Working in a suitably general axiomatic presentation of a category of Markov kernels, we see how we can think of Bayesian inversion as a particular instance of a state-dependent morphism in a fibred category. We discuss the compositional nature of this, formulated as a functor on the underlying category and explore how this can used for a more type-driven approach to statistical inference.

We generalise an existing construction of Bayesian Lenses to admit lenses between pairs of objects where the backwards object is dependent on states on the forwards object (interpreted as probability distributions). This gives a natural setting for studying stochastic maps with Bayesian inverses restricted to the points supported by a given prior. In order to state this formally we develop a proposed definition by Fritz of a support object in a Markov category and show that these give rise to a section into the category of dependent Bayesian lenses encoding a more canonical notion of Bayesian inversion.

Lenses, optics and dependent lenses (or equivalently morphisms of containers, or equivalently natural transformations of polynomial functors) are all widely used in applied category theory as models of bidirectional processes. From the definition of lenses over a finite product category, optics weaken the required structure to actions of monoidal categories, and dependent lenses make use of the additional property of finite completeness (or, in case of polynomials, even local cartesian closure). This has caused a split in the applied category theory literature between those using optics and those using dependent lenses. The goal of this paper is to unify optics with dependent lenses, by finding a definition of fibre optics admitting both as special cases.